Tuesday, April 17, 2007
DJ Forex Focus: Yen Carry Trades Likely To Resume
Trading in the Japanese currency may prove a little more choppy than it was before - given continued background concerns about the meeting of the Group of Seven leading industrial nations in Essen, Germany, Feb. 9-10 - and losses may not be so heavy against the Australian and New Zealand dollars this time around, but against the dollar and the euro there is little reason to see much change. "We are not reducing our long dollar/yen and euro/yen positions ahead of the G7 meeting," said Monica Fan, head of global foreign-exchange strategy at RBC Capital Markets in London. Concern that G7 finance ministers and central bankers might take some coordinated action to stop the yen's decline had helped to discourage carry trades over the last week or so as European officials complained about the economic risks posed by the yen's decline against the euro.
Tuesday, April 10, 2007
Yen slides, market sees few surprises from G7
TOKYO -- The yen closed in on a four-year low against the dollar and a record trough versus the euro on Friday before a Group of Seven finance ministers' meeting that is unlikely to seriously tackle the yen's weakness, investors said.
The euro also drew support from comments from ECB President Jean-Claude Trichet, who signaled on Thursday that rates could rise in March and possibly later on in the year. The ECB left rates unchanged at 3.5 percent in the previous session.
Market focus is on the statement that will follow the two-day G7 gathering, which starts in Essen, Germany, later in the day.
Some investors were also selling the yen ahead of a market holiday in Japan on Monday.
"The market is betting that the yen won't be included in the communique, which is why we're seeing buying in currencies against the yen," said a forex trader at a European investment bank.
The euro also drew support from comments from ECB President Jean-Claude Trichet, who signaled on Thursday that rates could rise in March and possibly later on in the year. The ECB left rates unchanged at 3.5 percent in the previous session.
Market focus is on the statement that will follow the two-day G7 gathering, which starts in Essen, Germany, later in the day.
Some investors were also selling the yen ahead of a market holiday in Japan on Monday.
"The market is betting that the yen won't be included in the communique, which is why we're seeing buying in currencies against the yen," said a forex trader at a European investment bank.
Tuesday, April 3, 2007
As Assets Dip, Forex Holds
In his recent New York Times article, "It's the Year to Keep an Eye on Paychecks," author David Leonhardt points to the uncertain financial future which Americans face in 2007. Pay rates, he argues, may be on the rise, but very little is certain as far as housing rates and the stock market are concerned. Surprised? You shouldn't be. When it comes to personal investments, real estate and stock always cycle, and opportunities come and go. Annual assurance of opportunity can never be guaranteed. By sharp contrast, Titan Commodities Management, Ltd. (http://titancm.com) offers investors an environment where safety and a worthwhile return on investment are an annual reality, despite the ebb and flow of traditional market products."What makes us unique, in comparison with other financial managers, is that we put our client's money first.
Tuesday, March 27, 2007
Get a fix on use of forex, first
The need for massive investments -- $320 billion, or more over the next five years -- in infrastructure to support the 8-10% growth envisaged for the economy is no longer a matter of debate. If we assume that all our public agencies are able to quickly prepare properly structured and designed infrastructure investments of this magnitude (and that is indeed a big assumption, as the capacity required to prepare many projects -- particularly of the PPP type -- is indeed a major constraint within the public sector), one of the big concerns is the ability to finance such massive investment.
The massive financing of infrastructure projects assumes an extra dimension since a significant part of it (perhaps $75-100 billion) is to be executed through public partnerships. Even in public investment projects, financing issues need to be critically examined as the government has accepted a fiscal responsibility framework.
The massive financing of infrastructure projects assumes an extra dimension since a significant part of it (perhaps $75-100 billion) is to be executed through public partnerships. Even in public investment projects, financing issues need to be critically examined as the government has accepted a fiscal responsibility framework.
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